I hope you're correct, but the wording of John Williams post doesn't convince me! Regardless though, I find it alarming that we have allowed a significant contributor to the financial projections of the club could to end up being 10% out, on the low side. I would have hoped that there would be some kind of simulation run on the potential gates/form of the club, with any projections then using a prudent estimate from these results?There will be plenty of analysis involved, e.g. time of year, size of oppo, projected league position and form, etc.
The previous season, IIRC, they got it almost spot on.
I’d argue that past season position/current season expectations are the most important variable on season ticket sales, however current form and league table position will be the most important variable on pay on the day punters. When it comes to making crowd predictions, it’s actually only the number of POTD punters that matter from a financial perspective (I’m assuming the gates committee have a steer on the number of season tickets sold).I hope you're correct, but the wording of John Williams post doesn't convince me! Regardless though, I find it alarming that we have allowed a significant contributor to the financial projections of the club could to end up being 10% out, on the low side. I would have hoped that there would be some kind of simulation run on the potential gates/form of the club, with any projections then using a prudent estimate from these results?
It would be interesting to look at historic gates at city, to run some sort of analysis on what the key factors are. I have a feeling that more than current form, past season position/current season expectation could be the most important variable. If we end up outside the play-offs, and then go on to lose 'exciting' players in the summer (Tom Nichols, don't sign Lee Holmes etc.), and then fail to replace them with names, I think we're bound to lose a fairly significant number off the turnstile.
1 (genuine) question:2 questions
1. Would the club have had a less capable board if salaries were not paid?
2. Would the club be in a better financial position?
If the answer to 1 is 'no' (as I believe it is), the the answer to 2 is 'yes, by about £1m or so since the Trust took control...and financial stability would nto be a perennial issue.
Looks like home gate has actually gone up this season despite mixed results. 3,701 last season, 3830 (so far) this.There is an obvious connection between what goes on on the field and our finances. Our gate has steadily dwindled over the last 3 seasons. Poor results and dire performances have driven away many supporters. If we are going to be viable financially in the longer term we have to start producing something that people want to come and see.