The Exeweb UK 2024 General Election Seats Prediction Thread

[arthur]

Likes indicate that totals are 649 and that entries are valid

 

[Radio Free Skaro]

FIRST PREDICTION

If you don't like it I have others


Conservative 145

Labour 398

Lib Dem 60

Reform 1

Green 1

SNP 23

Alba 0

Plaid Cymru 3

Workers Party 0

Sinn Fein 7

SDLP 1

Ulster Unionist 1

Democratic Unionist 7

Alliance 2

Turnout 62.4 %

Looks pretty accurate to me...

 

[Mid Devon Grecian]

Bleddy hell this is complex when you’ve just come back from the boozer.

Will have a go when sober

 

[Alistair20000]

Bleddy hell this is complex when you’ve just come back from the boozer.

Will have a go when sober

Probably wise.

art will box your ears if the total does not add up to 649

 

[arthur]

Conservative 131
Labour 390
Liberal Democrat 67
Reform/TUV (combined) 8
Green 3
Independent 1

SNP 27
Alba 0
Plaid Cymru 4

Sinn Fein 7
SDLP 2
Alliance 2
Ulster Unionist Party 0
Democratic Unionist Party 7

Others 0

Turnout 59.6%

 

[arthur]

Bleddy hell this is complex when you’ve just come back from the boozer.

Will have a go when sober

Try starting with the smaller parties and working your way up. Then divide the remainder between the big two (just a thought)

 

[Alistair20000]

Conservative 131
Labour 390
Liberal Democrat 67
Reform/TUV (combined) 8
Green 3
Independent 1

SNP 27
Alba 0
Plaid Cymru 4

Sinn Fein 7
SDLP 2
Alliance 2
Ulster Unionist Party 0
Democratic Unionist Party 7

Others 0

Turnout 59.6%

This could be in the right ball park but Reform at 8 seems unlikely to me.

Are you expecting the Greens to unseat Labour in Bristol Central ?

 

[arthur]

This could be in the right ball park but Reform at 8 seems unlikely to me.

Are you expecting the Greens to unseat Labour in Bristol Central ?

Farage's "you now have the opportunity to put two fingers up to the establishment" is what got Brexit over the line. He is making the same pitch now and there are enough undecided voters unenthused by Labour who will take up his invitation. Places like Hartlepool seem like places receptive to this message.

Yes, Greens to win Bristol at a canter

 

[Oldsmobile-88]

The really interesting battle will be in Scotland.
The SNP for all of their poor governance & scandal in recent years are still polling better than they should be. It’s also interesting that some who may switch to Labour from the SNP, still are pro independence according to pollsters(if they can be believed)

 

[Alistair20000]

The really interesting battle will be in Scotland.
The SNP for all of their poor governance & scandal in recent years are still polling better than they should be. It’s also interesting that some who may switch to Labour from the SNP, still are pro independence according to pollsters(if they can be believed)

Agreed.

SNP record in office is appalling but they get away with it. Would be delighted if they get obliterated.