The Probability Thread 2024 … or … Putting a number to doomed!

[denzel]

Love this thread. 60% chance of going down when it began.

Somebody can work out if we're at zero yet, it's beyond me.

I don't think we are mathematically safe but you can't put a bet on us now. Charlton are 100-1 and four points below us. We must be 5000-1.

 

[Grecian-on-Tyne]

I don't think we are mathematically safe but you can't put a bet on us now. Charlton are 100-1 and four points below us. We must be 5000-1.

A quick check of the tallies that make the charts show relegation once in 10,000

also re-ran 1 million times, giving relegation 43 times, so approx 23,000/1

 

[fred binneys head]

Bloody love this thread, me.

 

[andrew p long]

Bloody love this thread, me.

Me too. I've re-run my enjoyment of this thread 100,000 times and find I bleddy love it 99,783 times.

That's a less than 0.25% chance of not bleddy loving it - which as a simple percentage rounds down to 0.

 

[Bridgy 81]

I love this thread too but have absolutely no idea what any of it means.
I often feel strangely comfortable when I don’t understand something when other people clearly do.
I just leave those things to them so I have one less thing to think (and potentially worry) about.

 

[SaintJames]

I love this thread too but have absolutely no idea what any of it means.
I often feel strangely comfortable when I don’t understand something when other people clearly do.
I just leave those things to them so I have one less thing to think (and potentially worry) about.

Thank god you had the gumption to post what I was thinking. I did tell you we were Siamese twins lol

 

[Spoonz Red E]

I love this thread too but have absolutely no idea what any of it means.
I often feel strangely comfortable when I don’t understand something when other people clearly do.
I just leave those things to them so I have one less thing to think (and potentially worry) about.

Every time I see an expert I wonder why they gave up being a pert.

 

[Bridgy 81]

Thank god you had the gumption to post what I was thinking. I did tell you we were Siamese twins lol

One of my better qualities is recognizing what I can’t do and then studiously avoiding it.
Of course if it’s something that requires attention I enlist someone who can do it - invariably Mrs Bridgy

 

[sign of the chimes]

Every time I see an expert I wonder why they gave up being a pert.

Is that a case of putting the sag in to sage?

 

[Spoonz Red E]

Is that a case of putting the sag in to sage?

I once used 'sage' in a game of scrabble.
Getting the letters off the rack took ages.