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More advances today and Ukraine has now advanced 10km south in a couple of days in the area where the heaviest fighting is taking place. A fluid picture though as the Russians are putting up a strong fight including mounting counter-attacks on the villages that have been taken. Neither side has yet committed their main forces as Ukraine are holding them back to exploit breakthroughs and Russia is holding them back as a reserve to rush to plug gaps.
Meanwhile, there is a certain irony that for all of some people's concern about NATO ending up at war with Russia (although it is Russians who should be more concerned by that) a NATO member apparently killed a Russian soldier earlier today, not for the first time and it also happens vice-versa, which won't be mentioned in any newspaper. outside of the Middle East:
The 15 Bradley IFVs and 10 Stryker vehicles illustrates a problem for the Russians which is that when such vehicles get hit the crew generally survive to fight another day. The vehicle itself may be damaged such that it needs lengthy repairs or destroyed but the US has so many of both types just based in Europe that they can rapidly replace then on a one for one basis:
Not possible to do that with modern Western tanks because there are far fewer and they are much more expensive but if Putin is acknowledging that many Russian tanks lost then the Russians have a big problem (can safely disregard what he says about Ukraine's lost tanks - doubt that is far into two figures and three is just farcical);
The danger in thinking that you can strike critical energy infrastructure with impunity because the other side has no means to respond in kind is that the other side become rather unhappy about it and develops / acquires the means to respond in kind.....
HIMARS / M270 MLRS are Thor's hammer and Zeus"s bolts rolled into one. There is no real way to counter a pinpoint rocket with fifty miles range that comes in at Mach 2.5:
The only certain outcome of Putin's mission to destroy Ukraine is that he has destroyed the Russian military for a generation. Helping with that is the best use of the tax I pay that I have ever seen.
Storm Shadow at work on targets that were previously out of range. Not only have the Russians just lost huge quantities of ammunition but the railway depot itself has been vaporised and it was formally a key logistics hub that the Russians were using to ferry supplies in and out of Crimea. I imagine it will be quite some time before any trains are able to use the adjacent section of track:
Another tiny but importantly located settlement liberated after what seems a ferocious fight, the Russians tried to send reinforcing columns but they were hit by artillery, ATGMs and kamikaze drones:
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